Written Question · S6W-38570 · Session 6
What percentage of rape cases reported in the past five years have resulted in a conviction.
The question
To ask the Scottish Government what percentage of rape cases reported in the past five years have resulted in a conviction.
The answer
It is not possible to provide this information.The most recent available data on conviction rates for rape and attempted rape were published in Criminal Proceedings in Scotland, 2022-23. The figures for the most recent available five years are set out in Table 1. This shows the conviction rates for people prosecuted in court.Table 1: Conviction rate for rape and attempted rapeMain crime or offence2018-192019-202020-2112021-2212022-23Rape & attempted rape45%43%52%48%54%Notes:1.Data for 2020-21 and 2021-22 are affected by the pandemic and subsequent court closures and may not be indicative of longer-term trends.The most recent data on crimes and offences recorded and cleared up by Police Scotland were published in Recorded Crime in Scotland, 2023-24. The figures for the last five years of recorded rape and attempted rape data are set out in Table 2.Table 2: Number of rapes and attempted rapes reported to Police ScotlandSexual crimes2019-202020-212021-222022-232023-24Rape & attempted rape2,3432,2982,4982,5292,522Rape2,2132,1762,3702,4112,395Attempted rape130122128118127It is not possible to combine the data on the number of crimes reported to the police (from the Recorded Crime statistics) with the conviction rate for people prosecuted in courts (from the Criminal Proceedings statistics) to arrive at a reliable estimate of the proportion of cases reported that result in a conviction. That is because the data sets measure different things, and the data sets are not linked to each other.Recorded Crime in Scotland counts crimes reported to police whereas Criminal Proceedings in Scotland counts people by main charge. A single case may include one or more accused persons and one or multiple crimes. In addition, it is not possible to identify from the data when a crime reported in any given year is prosecuted in court: the number of people prosecuted for rape and attempted rape in one year cannot be seen as a subset of the number of crimes reported in that year.
In the Official Report
No contribution in the Official Report cites S6W-38570 by reference.